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Strategy
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Advice
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Expertise
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The Strategic Brief
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Vol. 04 · Issue 40
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2 October 2026
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A Stage 2 governance rating depends on testing as committed.
The ATO's 2026 findings reports show that governance ratings can now be reduced where groups do not test their controls as they committed to. Belgium's Constitutional Court has kept alive the challenge to the UTPR, and Belgium has moved its first Pillar Two filing and notification deadlines to 31 October 2026. The OECD has released the full 2025 edition of the Model Tax Convention. Italy's Supreme Court has held that cutting a trademark royalty to support foreign subsidiaries was not arm's length, and the Federal Court has upheld a Part IVA determination including $173.3 million in assessable income on the pre-sale restructure of the Hilton Sydney.
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7%
of Top 1,000 taxpayers rated Stage 3 for governance
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31 Oct 2026
Belgian first QDMTT, IIR and GIR notification deadline
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$173.3m
Tax benefit upheld under Part IVA in Hilton
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50%
Remote-work indicator in the new Article 5 Commentary
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Four developments to read carefully
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04 stories
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01
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Australia | Tax governance
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AU
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Stage 2 rests on the testing commitment
The 2026 Top 100 findings report records ratings reduced from Stage 2 to Stage 1 where agreed actions were not completed. The Top 1,000 report says Stage 1 may be more appropriate where testing has not been done as committed.
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Stage 2 to 1
Ratings already reduced
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02
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UTPR challenge continues; filings move to 31 October
The Constitutional Court maintained the UTPR challenge and its referral to the Court of Justice. First QDMTT and IIR returns and GIR reporting-entity notifications are now due 31 October 2026.
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31 Oct
New filing deadline
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03
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OECD | Tax treaties
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Global
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Full 2025 Model Tax Convention released
The 11th full edition includes the new Article 5 Commentary on remote work, with a 50 per cent of working time indicator, and new Article 9 Commentary on characterising debt before pricing it.
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50%
Remote-work indicator
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04
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Hilton Sydney restructure fails
The Federal Court upheld a Part IVA determination on a pre-sale restructure that moved the hotel into a company held by a new Luxembourg affiliate. Three of four alternative postulates were found reasonable.
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$173.3m
Tax benefit included
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| 02 Oct |
Comments close on draft PCG 2026/D4 (royalty characterisation of intermediation and distribution arrangements) Closes today |
AU |
| 07 Oct |
Questions close for the ATO/CTA Justified Trust session (registration closes 9 Oct) |
AU |
| 14 Oct |
ATO consultation on taxpayer use of AI opens (closes 27 Oct); ATO/CTA Justified Trust session |
AU |
| 23 Oct |
Bulgarian consultation on side-by-side package and loss reforms closes |
EU |
| 31 Oct |
Belgium: first QDMTT and IIR returns and GIR reporting-entity notifications |
EU |
| 30 Nov |
UAE transitional top-up tax registration; last day the ATO accepts credit card payments |
UAE / AU |
| 31 Dec |
Australian June 2025 first-year GIR and payment; NZ June 2026 registration; Portuguese December 2025 registration |
AU / NZ / PT |
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The detail
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Commentary & analysis
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Australia | Tax governance
ATO governance ratings: a Stage 2 rating depends on testing as committed
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01
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The ATO published its 2026 findings reports for the Top 100 and Top 1,000 programs on 17 September. For the first time, the Top 100 report records governance ratings falling: "In a small number of instances the governance rating was reduced from Stage 2 to Stage 1 due to agreed actions not being completed." Governance was also a factor where provisional high assurance ratings were downgraded to medium. The Top 1,000 report repeats a statement first published in September 2025. Where a taxpayer has not carried out internal control testing as committed, the ATO "may need to consider whether ... Board level control 4 has in fact been effectively designed or whether a stage 1 rating is more appropriate", although it will consider legitimate reasons such as a business change that requires the framework to be updated first. A Stage 2 rating requires a Board-endorsed commitment to periodic independent testing of key controls, and Stage 2 is required for overall high assurance. Once a taxpayer reaches Stage 3, the ATO expects all controls to be tested at least once every 3 to 5 years.
The risk is therefore not failing to reach Stage 3, but not keeping the testing commitment on which Stage 2 was given. Only 7 per cent of the Top 1,000 population is at Stage 3, so many groups hold a Stage 2 rating that rests on that commitment. Top 100 and Top 1,000 groups should check the start date they gave the ATO, whether testing has begun, whether the tester is independent of the people who designed the controls or prepared the return, and whether the Board has seen the results. Groups that lodge the supplementary annual GST return should note that it asks each year whether the GST governance rating has been maintained, taking into account whether commitments to the ATO have been actioned. These ratings apply to the Top 100 and Top 1,000 programs, not to private groups.
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Belgium | Pillar Two
Belgium: UTPR challenge continues, and first filings move to 31 October
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02
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On 24 September the Belgian Constitutional Court (decision no. 107/2026) maintained the challenge to the undertaxed profits rule (UTPR) brought by a US business association, in which it first referred questions on 17 July 2025, and kept in place its referral to the Court of Justice of the European Union on whether the UTPR is compatible with the EU Charter and the freedoms of establishment and services. Belgium has not yet legislated the side-by-side package, and the Court held that a draft law in preparation does not remove the plaintiff's interest. Separately, on 28 September the tax administration extended to 31 October 2026 the deadlines for first QDMTT returns (tax years beginning on or after 31 December 2023 and ending between 1 January 2024 and 31 October 2025), first IIR returns for the 2024 and short 2025 cohorts, and GIR reporting-entity notifications. These replace the 30 September dates announced in April.
Belgium's transitional UTPR safe harbour only applies where the ultimate parent entity is in a jurisdiction with a corporate tax rate of at least 20 per cent, so Belgian entities of groups whose ultimate parent is elsewhere may face UTPR top-up tax for 2025. Groups with Belgian entities should confirm which cohort they fall into, use the extra month to settle the general representative notification, and follow the progress of the referral to the Court of Justice.
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OECD | Tax treaties
OECD: full 2025 Model Tax Convention released
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03
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On 30 September the OECD released the 11th edition of the full Model Tax Convention, reflecting the text as at 18 November 2025. It brings together the 2025 update, including new Commentary on Article 5 (paragraphs 44.1 to 44.21) on cross-border remote work. A home or other location abroad will generally not be a place of business of the employer where the individual works there for less than 50 per cent of their working time in any 12-month period. At or above 50 per cent, a further factual analysis is needed, with particular weight on whether there is a commercial reason for the individual to be in that jurisdiction, such as dealing with local customers or suppliers. New Commentary on Article 9 (paragraphs 3 and 3.1) says a purported loan must first be characterised as debt, and the extent of that debt settled, before its pricing is tested, and that domestic interest limitation rules continue to apply.
The full edition is now the consolidated reference text. Groups with staff working remotely from overseas should check their arrangements against the 50 per cent indicator and the commercial reason test. The Article 9 Commentary broadly mirrors the Australian sequence of characterisation under Division 974, the amount of debt under Division 820 (section 815-140), and arm's length pricing under Subdivision 815-B.
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Italy | Transfer pricing
Italy: cutting a royalty to support subsidiaries was not arm's length
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04
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In Order No. 23024 of 10 July 2026, Italy's Supreme Court upheld a transfer pricing adjustment for the 2008 tax year against an Italian packaging company. The company had licensed a trademark exclusively to its US and Canadian subsidiaries at a royalty of 2 per cent, and in 2002 reduced it to 0.5 per cent from 2003 to support the subsidiaries in a market with excess capacity. The Court held that the tax authority did not need to prove an avoidance purpose, that the burden moved to the taxpayer once pricing appeared to be below market, that a reduction made only in the group's interest was not arm's length, and that sales between the subsidiaries could not be excluded from the royalty base.
The decision is a reminder that a royalty step-down needs a reason an independent licensor would accept, such as a change in the licensed rights or in the licensee's functions, and evidence to support it. Groups that have reduced intra-group royalties or service fees to support loss-making affiliates should check that the file explains the change in those terms.
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Australia | Part IVA Part IVA: Federal Court upholds the Hilton Sydney assessment | 05 |
| In Hilton International Australia Pty Ltd v Commissioner of Taxation (No 2) [2026] FCA 1325, delivered on 9 September, Younan J dismissed the taxpayer's appeal against the objection decision on a Part IVA determination that included a tax benefit of $173,300,032 in assessable income for the year ended 31 December 2015. Before the 2015 sale of the Hilton Sydney, the hotel and business assets were moved within the Australian multiple entry consolidated group into a company whose single share was held by a newly incorporated Luxembourg affiliate. The buyer acquired that company for about $29 million, paid to the Luxembourg entity, and paid $420 million directly to the Australian group to discharge an intercompany loan note. The Court found that three of the Commissioner's four alternative postulates were reasonable, including a straight asset sale, and that the dominant purpose test was met. Penalties and interest are being dealt with in separate Administrative Review Tribunal proceedings. The decision is a significant application of the alternative postulate rules in section 177CB to a related-party restructure before a sale. Groups planning a pre-sale reorganisation, particularly one that moves the gain offshore or into a different part of a consolidated group, should document the commercial reasons for each step and test the outcome against the most obvious alternative, which is usually a straight asset or share sale. |
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Netherlands
Decree No. 2026-15692, in force from 26 September, confirms that the OECD Model Rules, Commentary and Administrative Guidance apply in interpreting the Minimum Tax Act 2024 where the Dutch wording corresponds. It gives positions on partnerships, permanent establishments, covered taxes and the safe harbours, including that an ordinary arm's length loan within a Dutch fiscal unity is not automatically caught by the hybrid arrangement rule in the transitional CbCR safe harbour, where the accounting and tax treatment are consistent and there is no hybrid mismatch.
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Kuwait
On 28 September the Ministry of Finance updated its tax portal. All MNE groups registered for Kuwait's domestic minimum top-up tax must submit a registration update, even if nothing has changed, after which each constituent entity applies separately for a tax card. No deadline was given.
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European Union
On 1 October the Commission sent the Czech Republic a reasoned opinion for not fully transposing DAC9, the directive governing exchange of the GloBE information return. It also sent letters of formal notice to Germany, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Hungary because their penalties under the administrative cooperation directive are, in its view, too low to deter non-compliance by multinational groups.
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Bulgaria
A Ministry of Finance draft of 23 September would adopt the January 2026 side-by-side package with effect from 1 January 2026, with the simplified effective tax rate safe harbour applying to fiscal years beginning on or after 31 December 2026. It would also extend loss carry-forwards from 5 to 10 years with a 70 per cent annual cap and impose a one-off 33 per cent windfall tax for 2027 on banks, insurers, telecoms, non-bank lenders and food retailers with at least five outlets, levied on 2027 profit above the 2020 to 2025 average increased by 20 per cent. Consultation closes on 23 October.
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Türkiye
The Tax Inspection Board has launched a foreign earnings monitoring programme that compares CRS and country-by-country report data with domestic returns, and will use CbCR indicators to review profit allocation and transfer pricing risk. Taxpayers with discrepancies may be asked for explanations.
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United States | China
On 27 September the US Trade Representative announced recommendations for more favourable tariff treatment of about USD 30 billion of non-sensitive goods in each direction. The recommendations do not change any tariff rate yet and remain subject to each country's domestic processes.
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France
The 2027 Finance Bill, presented on 1 October, includes a partial one-year extension of the exceptional corporate tax surcharge for companies with turnover above EUR 1.5 billion and reintroduces a surcharge for tonnage tax shipping companies with worldwide turnover of EUR 1 billion or more.
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Treaty network
Croatia's parliament approved the 2022 Croatia-United States income tax treaty and its 2026 protocol on 25 September. Qatar and Tanzania signed an income tax treaty, Germany's Cabinet approved on 2 September a new treaty with Ukraine to replace the 1995 treaty, El Salvador signed treaties with Türkiye and the UAE, and Tunisia published its first MLI synthesised texts for 14 treaties, including those with China, France and the United Kingdom.
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| Australia: additional developments | Australia: additional developments |
| GST on container deposit refunds In iQ Renew Pty Ltd v Commissioner of Taxation [2026] FCA 1393, decided on 21 September, the Federal Court held that GST was payable on refunds received under the NSW container deposit scheme. The Court found that recycling eligible containers in line with the scheme was a supply for consideration to the scheme coordinator and the NSW EPA, even though it overlapped with the taxpayer's supplies to councils. Victoria: State Revenue Office compliance priorities for 2026-27 On 23 September the SRO published its compliance focus areas for 2026-27. They include landholder duty on acquisitions of companies and unit trusts holding Victorian commercial or industrial land, offshore transactions that indirectly transfer Victorian energy, infrastructure or data centre assets, and payroll tax on contractor payments, employee share schemes, grouping and labour hire. Groups with Victorian property or workforces should check recent transactions against these areas. Trade remedies and managed investment trusts The Customs Amendment (Safeguard Inquiries) Act 2026 (Act No. 92 of 2026) received assent on 28 September. It renames the Anti-Dumping Commission the Australian Trade Remedies Commission and moves safeguard inquiries to it from the Productivity Commission. ASIC Corporations (Attribution Managed Investment Trusts) Instrument 2026/726 commenced on 25 September and replaces the AMIT relief instrument that was due to sunset on 1 October. Residency of employees on overseas assignment In Quy v Commissioner of Taxation [2026] FCA 1316, the Federal Court upheld the Tribunal's finding that an Australian citizen working in Dubai from 2015 remained a resident under the domicile test because he had not shown a permanent place of abode overseas. Employers with Australian staff on long-term assignments should not assume that departure alone ends residency. Corporate tax transparency report for 2024-25 The ATO released its 2024-25 corporate tax transparency report on 1 October, covering 4,299 entities. Tax payable fell 8.6 per cent to $87.5 billion, the second annual fall, mainly because tax paid by mining, energy and water fell by $12.5 billion. About 27 per cent of entities paid no tax, the lowest proportion in 12 years of reporting. Foreign-owned entities paid 39.0 per cent of the tax. Reminders Comments on draft PCG 2026/D4 on royalty characterisation of intermediation and distribution arrangements close today, 2 October. The ATO will stop accepting credit card payments after 30 November 2026. The ATO consultation on taxpayer use of artificial intelligence runs from 14 to 27 October. The ATO and Corporate Tax Association session on ten years of Justified Trust is on 14 October; questions close on 7 October and registration on 9 October. | | Pillar Two: filing deadlines | Registration, returns & payment |
| The 30 September 2026 deadlines in Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Portugal and Mauritius have now passed and are removed. Groups that did not meet them should contact the relevant revenue authority promptly. Belgium's 30 September dates, set in April, have been replaced by 31 October. Match each row to the group's fiscal year. Kuwait now requires every registered group to update its DMTT registration; no date was given. Malaysia signed the GloBE information exchange agreement on 16 July 2026, taking signatories to 40. | Date | Obligation | Applies to | Note | | 31 Oct 2026 | Belgium: first QDMTT return | Tax years beginning on or after 31 Dec 2023 and ending 1 Jan 2024 to 31 Oct 2025 | Extended on 28 Sep 2026. General representative notification due no later than the QDMTT return. | | 31 Oct 2026 | Belgium: first IIR return | Tax years starting 31 Dec 2023 to 31 Dec 2024 and ending by 31 Mar 2025, and specified 2025 tax years ending by 30 Jun 2025 | Extended on 28 Sep 2026. Confirm the cohort against the administration's notice. | | 31 Oct 2026 | Belgium: GIR reporting-entity notification | Tax years beginning 1 Jan 2025 or later and ending by 30 Jun 2025; or beginning 31 Dec 2023 to 31 Dec 2024 and ending by 31 Mar 2025 | Extended on 28 Sep 2026. | | 30 Nov 2026 | UAE: transitional top-up tax registration | Fiscal years ending before 30 Apr 2026 | FTA Decision No. 12 of 2026. Replaces the general seven-month rule for this cohort. | | 31 Dec 2026 | Australia: first GIR and domestic return/payment | First fiscal year ending 30 Jun 2025 | 18-month first-year period. | | 31 Dec 2026 | New Zealand: Pillar Two registration | First affected fiscal year ending 30 Jun 2026 | Six months after the first affected year end. | | 31 Dec 2026 | Portugal: Modelo 62 registration | Fiscal year ending 31 Dec 2025 | Extended to the last day of the twelfth month after year end. | | 31 Dec 2026 | UAE: transitional deregistration application | Entities that ceased to exist before 30 Jun 2026 | Requires settlement of outstanding top-up tax and penalties. | | 31 Mar 2027 | Australia: subsequent-year GIR and combined return | Year ending 31 Dec 2025 where FY 2024 was the transition year | 15-month period applies. Do not carry forward the first-year 18-month extension. |
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Neil Pereira, Pereira Consulting
Chartered Tax Adviser · Registered Tax Agent · Solicitor
Pereira Consulting is an independent tax advisory practice founded by Neil Pereira, advising multinational groups operating into and out of Australia on international tax, Pillar Two readiness, transfer pricing, anti-avoidance, ATO disputes and corporate income tax compliance. Neil is a Chartered Tax Adviser, Registered Tax Agent and Solicitor.
Disclaimer. This newsletter is general information only and does not constitute tax or legal advice. It is current as at the issue date. Pereira Consulting accepts no liability for any decision made in reliance on its contents. Please contact Neil Pereira to discuss the application of these developments to your specific circumstances.
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Holding a Stage 2 rating on a testing commitment, or planning a pre-sale restructure?
Contact Neil Pereira to discuss how these developments apply to your group.
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